Reasons Behind WD-40's 6% Stock Decline Post-Earnings Report

WD-40 (WDFC -6.75%) stock fell 6.3% through 11:30 a.m. ET Monday despite the company beating forecasts in its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings report, released after close of trading last Friday.

Analysts had predicted that WD-40 would report earnings of just $1.26 per share in the first quarter, but the actual earnings came in at $1.39 per share, marking a notable "surprise" performance.

WD-40 Company has released its earnings report for the first quarter, showcasing its financial performance and key metrics for the period. The report details revenue figures, net income, and any notable changes compared to previous quarters. Additionally, insights into market trends and strategic initiatives may be included, providing a comprehensive overview of the company's current standing and future outlook.

For the quarter, sales reached $153.5 million, reflecting an improvement of approximately 9% compared to the same period last year. Additionally, WD-40 increased its gross profit margin by a full percentage point, bringing it to 54.8%.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased at a rate higher than sales, climbing by 14%, while advertising and sales promotion costs surged by 20%. As a result, this trend offset the gains in gross margins, leading to earnings per share rising nearly in line with sales growth, which was up by 9%.

Is it time to sell WD-40 stock?

Why are investors dissatisfied with WD-40 at the moment? It seems that the concern is less about the actual performance in Q1 and more related to the guidance provided for the remainder of fiscal 2025.

"As I look around the world," says WD-40 CEO Steve Brass, "all I see is opportunity." Yet for 2025, WD-40 sees sales growing only between 6% and 11%. Taken at the midpoint, this is a forecast for sales growth slower in the rest of 2025 than in Q1. Similarly, management's forecast for a gross profit margin between 54% and 55% implies a slight decline from Q1's 54.8%. And management also says that it will earn only between $5.20 and $5.45 per share this year.

At the halfway mark, the figure falls short of the $5.36 that Wall Street anticipated, showing only a roughly 2% increase compared to WD-40's earnings in fiscal 2024.

Is 2% annual earnings growth enough to justify WD-40's stock price, which is currently a steep 46 times trailing earnings? I'd argue it is not. And today, it seems most investors agree with me and are selling WD-40 stock.